TY - JOUR
T1 - Advancing resilience in infrastructure projects through machine learning-driven models
AU - Ojiako, Udechukwu
AU - Wong, Tse Chiu
AU - Smith, Craig John
AU - Chipulu, Maxwell
AU - Al-Mhdawi, M. K.S.
AU - Oyewo, Babajide
AU - Obokoh, Lawrence
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
PY - 2025/11/5
Y1 - 2025/11/5
N2 - Traditional risk management enhances infrastructure utility but remains limited in addressing complexity and uncertainty. This has shifted attention towards resilience, particularly the readiness dimension, to improve early threat detection and prevention. Machine Learning (ML) offers opportunities to advance resilience modelling, yet empirically validated ML-enabled approaches, especially those using neural networks, are scarce, restricting accuracy, reliability, and applicability. This study develops a neural network-enabled resilience model optimized for training efficiency and predictive performance. By incorporating established feature importance techniques, the model improves accuracy, interpretability, and the identification of influential factors. The findings extend resilience typologies by ranking factor importance in critical infrastructure, highlighting ‘Operational resilience’ as the most significant determinant of project success. Practically, the model provides managers with clearer insights for decision-making, supporting earlier threat recognition and stronger disruption detection. The framework is adaptable across resilience contexts with appropriate industry-or platform-specific modifications.
AB - Traditional risk management enhances infrastructure utility but remains limited in addressing complexity and uncertainty. This has shifted attention towards resilience, particularly the readiness dimension, to improve early threat detection and prevention. Machine Learning (ML) offers opportunities to advance resilience modelling, yet empirically validated ML-enabled approaches, especially those using neural networks, are scarce, restricting accuracy, reliability, and applicability. This study develops a neural network-enabled resilience model optimized for training efficiency and predictive performance. By incorporating established feature importance techniques, the model improves accuracy, interpretability, and the identification of influential factors. The findings extend resilience typologies by ranking factor importance in critical infrastructure, highlighting ‘Operational resilience’ as the most significant determinant of project success. Practically, the model provides managers with clearer insights for decision-making, supporting earlier threat recognition and stronger disruption detection. The framework is adaptable across resilience contexts with appropriate industry-or platform-specific modifications.
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105021120873
U2 - 10.1080/09537287.2025.2583300
DO - 10.1080/09537287.2025.2583300
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105021120873
SN - 0953-7287
JO - Production Planning and Control
JF - Production Planning and Control
ER -