Analyzing the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic Risks on Construction Projects in Developing Countries: Case of Iraq

The construction industry has been exposed to many risks emerging from the COVID-19 pandemic. This can be seen from project schedule delays, cost overrun, legal claims to supply chain distribution, and workforce restrictions. To this end, the purpose of this study is to identify and analyze the risks emerging from the COVID-19 pandemic for the construction industry in developing countries by considering the case of the Iraqi construction industry. To achieve this, a mixed-methods approach was adopted as follows: (1) focus group session with eight construction experts to identify the risks emerging from the COVID-19 pandemic; (2) development of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method based on probability and impact risk matrix by considering two additional dimensions, namely Estimated Recovery Time Level (ERTL), and Expected Cost Level (ECL); and (3) survey data collection from 41 Iraqi construction experts to quantify the identified risks. Ultimately, a total of 29 risks were identified and categorized into four construction themes, namely contractual/legal implications, construction financial market, supply chain operations, and health and safety of the construction workforce. The findings show that the most significant COVID-19 pandemic risks are claims arising under a construction contract, virus spreading due to poor hygiene and lack of sanitizing stations, and contractor bankruptcy. This research offers a better understanding of the critical risks emerging from COVID-19, which can be used as a reference for researchers and industry stakeholders in planning to address the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic risks during the life cycle of a construction project.