Causal relationship between macroeconomic variable and exchange rate

Ramiz ur Rehman, Muhammad Ateeq ur Rehman, Awais Raoof

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between inflation, interest rates and exchange rates. The study contains the previous work to support the robust study to find the impact of independent variables on dependent variable. In this case, interest rates and inflation is taken as independent variable and exchange rate as dependent variable. To find out the impact of these variables, data of interest rates (Pakistan and United Kingdom), inflation (Pakistan and United Kingdom) and exchange rate between Pakistan Rupee and British Pond Sterling of the last fifteen years (1994-2009) on monthly basis are analyzed. A Multiple Regression Model is applied to check the relationship of inflation and interest with exchange rate. Results show that a significant but positive relation is found between inflation and exchange rate while a negative and significant relation is fond between interest rate and exchange rate. This study can be further extended to check the lead-lagged effect of these independent variables on dependent variable.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)58-62
Number of pages5
JournalInternational Research Journal of Finance and Economics
Volume46
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sept 2010
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Causal relationship between macroeconomic variable and exchange rate'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this