TY - JOUR
T1 - Exchange rate, gold price, and stock market nexus
T2 - a quantile regression approach
AU - Ali, Rizwan
AU - Mangla, Inayat Ullah
AU - Rehman, Ramiz Ur
AU - Xue, Wuzhao
AU - Naseem, Muhammad Akram
AU - Ahmad, Muhammad Ishfaq
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.
PY - 2020/8/17
Y1 - 2020/8/17
N2 - In this study, we examine an empirical relationship between stock market volatility with the exchange rate and gold prices of an emerging market, “Pakistan”, employing daily and monthly data (PSX‐100 Index) covering from 2001: Q3 to 2018: Q2. The study explains the average stock returns by applying MGARCH. Further, it investigates that the volatility in the exchange rate (Rs/US $) and gold prices remain equally strong in bearish and bullish conditions of the stock market by using a quantile regression approach (2001–2018). Additionally, the sample period is divided into two split samples that cover (2001–2007) and (2008–2018) respectively, based on global financial crises and applied similar analysis. The overall results show the negative impact of the exchange rate and gold price volatility on the stock market performance daily (monthly), supporting the argument that the stock market considers the exchange rate and gold price fluctuations as an adverse indicator and reacts negatively.
AB - In this study, we examine an empirical relationship between stock market volatility with the exchange rate and gold prices of an emerging market, “Pakistan”, employing daily and monthly data (PSX‐100 Index) covering from 2001: Q3 to 2018: Q2. The study explains the average stock returns by applying MGARCH. Further, it investigates that the volatility in the exchange rate (Rs/US $) and gold prices remain equally strong in bearish and bullish conditions of the stock market by using a quantile regression approach (2001–2018). Additionally, the sample period is divided into two split samples that cover (2001–2007) and (2008–2018) respectively, based on global financial crises and applied similar analysis. The overall results show the negative impact of the exchange rate and gold price volatility on the stock market performance daily (monthly), supporting the argument that the stock market considers the exchange rate and gold price fluctuations as an adverse indicator and reacts negatively.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85089521549&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.3390/risks8030086
DO - 10.3390/risks8030086
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85089521549
SN - 2227-9091
VL - 8
JO - Risks
JF - Risks
IS - 3
M1 - 86
ER -