TY - JOUR
T1 - How do weather risks in Canada and the United States affect global commodity prices? Implications for the decarbonisation process
AU - Lau, Chi Keung
AU - Cai, Yifei
AU - Gozgor, Giray
PY - 2023/11/26
Y1 - 2023/11/26
N2 - Given that the probability of extreme weather has been dramatically increasing, this study contributes to the existing literature by bridging the relation between weather risks and global commodity prices with a secondary dataset (e.g., weather risks of Canada and the United States, agricultural raw materials price, gold price, and crude oil price). The results from the vector autoregression model and impulse response functions show that rising weather risks increase the price of agricultural raw materials and gold. However, the negative impact of weather risks on the crude oil price is found. Finally, the paper discusses the findings' potential implications (e.g., developing decarbonised supply chains) for decreasing weather risks' effects on commodity market uncertainties.
AB - Given that the probability of extreme weather has been dramatically increasing, this study contributes to the existing literature by bridging the relation between weather risks and global commodity prices with a secondary dataset (e.g., weather risks of Canada and the United States, agricultural raw materials price, gold price, and crude oil price). The results from the vector autoregression model and impulse response functions show that rising weather risks increase the price of agricultural raw materials and gold. However, the negative impact of weather risks on the crude oil price is found. Finally, the paper discusses the findings' potential implications (e.g., developing decarbonised supply chains) for decreasing weather risks' effects on commodity market uncertainties.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85178291012&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s10479-023-05672-0
DO - 10.1007/s10479-023-05672-0
M3 - Article
SN - 0254-5330
JO - Annals of Operations Research
JF - Annals of Operations Research
ER -