Modelling and influencing the AI bidding war: A research agenda

The Anh Han, Luís Moniz Pereira, Tom Lenaerts

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

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A race for technological supremacy in AI could lead to serious negative consequences, especially whenever ethical and safety procedures are underestimated or even ignored, leading potentially to the rejection of AI in general. For all to enjoy the benefits provided by safe, ethical and trustworthy AI systems, it is crucial to incentivise participants with appropriate strategies that ensure mutually beneficial normative behaviour and safety-compliance from all parties involved. Little attention has been given to understanding the dynamics and emergent behaviours arising from this AI bidding war, and moreover, how to influence it to achieve certain desirable outcomes (e.g. AI for public good and participant compliance). To bridge this gap, this paper proposes a research agenda to develop theoretical models that capture key factors of the AI race, revealing which strategic behaviours may emerge and hypothetical scenarios therein. Strategies from incentive and agreement modelling are directly applicable to systematically analyse how different types of incentives (namely, positive vs. negative, peer vs. institutional, and their combinations) influence safety-compliant behaviours over time, and how such behaviours should be configured to ensure desired global outcomes, studying at the same time how these mechanisms influence AI development. This agenda will provide actionable policies, showing how they need to be employed and deployed in order to achieve compliance and thereby avoid disasters as well as loosing confidence and trust in AI in general.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAIES 2019 - Proceedings of the 2019 AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery, Inc
Number of pages7
ISBN (Electronic)9781450363242
Publication statusPublished - 27 Jan 2019
Event2nd AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society - Honolulu, United States
Duration: 27 Jan 201928 Jan 2019

Publication series

NameAIES 2019 - Proceedings of the 2019 AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society


Conference2nd AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society
Abbreviated titleAIES 2019
Country/TerritoryUnited States


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